11 articles
FeaturedThe recurring pattern of expansion and contraction in economic activity. Understanding cycles helps predict downturns and prepare.
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The interest rate is the rent on capital. Here is the net-present-value logic firms use to decide what to build, and why the Fed's moves reach every project.

The idea that imports destroy jobs and trade is zero-sum is intuitive, persistent, and wrong in the aggregate — but the real story is more honest than either…

A tariff helps domestic producers and the Treasury, but it costs consumers more than both gain combined. The gap is deadweight loss — pure value destroyed.

U.S. GDP grew 1.6% in early 2026. Here is what that one number is built from, and the large parts of life it was never designed to count.

Inflation isn't one thing going wrong. It's demand, costs, and money supply all pulling in the same direction. Here's how the machine works.